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Predators and Prey

Pygmepatl

Spotted Skunk
I feel the same way about you guys! It's like a big happy family up in here :D

And yeah, it is! I made a dandelion flower crown for my previous guinea pig before, and he purred for a little bit (the good purr), but immediately shook it off of his head and started eating it. He loved dandelions, so I'm not quite sure what I was thinking lol
We certainly are a big family here, supporting each other in our bad and good moments.

That's a good and lovely story, he must have enjoyed the dandelions.
 

DRGN Juno

AAAAAAAAAAAAAA -Sukhoi, 2020
Well, it’s time for another wall of text. Get ready, folks. Today, we’re doing part two of the Three Body Problem.

Today’s topic was, as we learned, was the winner of the trijet competition by instantly rendering its competitors obsolete – the Airbus A300. We saw last time that it took the newly introduced DC-10 and L-1011 and forever banished the trijet genre into irrelevance.

But this wasn’t quite the flawless victory that it seemed in our last episode. While the Lockheed L-1011 was a dismal sales failure at only 250 produced and sold, the A300 almost died at launch. It was a massive gamble that banked so much on so many variables, and this story almost ended as quickly as it started. Today, we’re going to visit what almost wasn’t – Airbus, and the European dream.

We already know the impact of the widebody revolution. Boeing had shrunk the world with the 747, making air travel affordable to the masses thanks to its unrivaled capacity. And a few pages back, we learned that in the 1960s, American Airlines wanted to expand the widebody market by filling the niche between narrow bodies and the 747. But this potentially lucrative sector wasn’t of much concern to Airbus. Mostly because back then, Airbus didn’t actually exist.

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A Sud Aviation Caravelle, one of many low volume airliners to come out Europe in the 1950s.

Despite introducing jet airliners to the world in the 1950s with the introduction of the DeHavilland Comet, manufacturers like Hawker-Siddeley or Sud Aviation were very rapidly eclipsed in terms of production output by Boeing and McDonnell-Douglas. By the mid-1960s, their lead had evaporated entirely. Nearly 80% of all airliners in service by mid-decade were built in America. And with the 747 slated to enter service by 1970, it seemed like there was no stopping the American Machine. Dassault, BAC, Fokker and Messerschmitt – all once-iconic names in the industry – were poised to disappear forever.

But another solution, under another name, was already in the works. Under an Anglo-French treaty, BAC and Sud Aviation had been working together on the Concorde since 1962. The secret to Airbus wouldn’t be in the delta planform, or the monstrous Olympus engines that powered it. Instead, it was in the treaty. Neither BAC nor Sud Aviation would’ve been able to build such a machine on their own (and even then, they had limitations – the Concorde’s Mach 2 limit wasn’t dictated by of a lack of power, but because neither company had experience with high-heat metals required if they wanted to go faster).

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The Concorde - still one of the most imposing planes ever made

But despite pulling off one of the most significant engineering feats of the century, speed wasn’t where the money was. The 747 hadn’t even entered service yet, and they were selling like hotcakes compared to the paltry 20 Concordes that would ever be made. If any European manufacturer wanted to stand a chance, they’d have to build a widebody, and they’d have to do it better than the Americans. Every manufacturer in the continent was busy sketching their own designs – air buses, as they became referred to. But to compete, they needed to sell volumes. And they couldn’t do that at each other’s throats.

On September 26, 1967, the British, French, and West German governments signed a memorandum of understanding to build a new airliner called the A300. Each country would pool their aerospace expertise, and each would provide a different part of the aircraft – Germany made the fuselage, France made the cockpit and control heads, and Britain made the wings. The Dutch would join in to take charge of the control surfaces, while Spain created the empennage (tailplane). The British would withdraw from the program in 1969 out of fear for lack of sales, but Hawker-Siddeley would remain as the provider of the wings for the duration of the project.

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The early Airbus assembly in Toulouse, France - date unkown

The challenge of building a plane over several different countries, is that all the parts are built via telephone, leaving the problem of joining them up to be much like finishing a Lego set if you had to order it brick by brick in five languages. With entire wings built in Britain or the entire goddamn body being built in Germany, getting each piece together would be a challenge. While companies like Boeing still had to ship parts between plants, they also had the uniquely American luxury of building entire facilities wherever they pleased, like setting up an entire private airport in Washington just to build the 747.

Entire segments of the A300 would not only have to be shipped to Toulouse, France, but it all had to be done in sequence. In order to pull some of it off, whatever couldn’t be loaded by road or rail would need to be flown in with specially modified Boeing Stratocruisers (affectionately called the Super Guppy). With Airbus pulling off some incredible trickery in logistics (seriously, some people have trouble getting cars through some European cities, let alone an airliner) The A300, at long last, came together piece by piece for its debut on October 28, 1972.

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One such Super Guppy after Airbus had sold it off

Now, remember what I said about the L-1011 being the most advanced airliner of its time? It really was, don’t get me wrong. But it took just two years for Airbus to throw all that out the window. Like Lockheed, Airbus had innovated to extremes – the first composite structure of any airliner, an avionics suite to make the L-1011 blush, and the first supercritical wing on any airliner (I’ll spare you the engineering explanation – it allowed the A300 to outclimb any of its competitors, and improved fuel efficiency). On top of all this, the A300 had smarter design features such as a higher load floor, maximizing cargo space in the belly without sacrificing passenger space.

But a well-designed plane wasn’t enough on its own. Not only were most airliners in service built by Americans, they were operated by them as well. In order to sell to their target audience, they had to convince Americans that foreigners had a superior product. Any of you paying attention to US politics or the 2008 auto industry collapse will know what they were up against. To appease the Americans, the plane was designed using Imperial measurements, and all operating materials were in English. Under the wings of F-OCAZ (serial number 1), two all-American General Electric turbofans provided power, with the option for equally American Pratt & Whitney JT6 units (or the troubled Rolls-Royce RB211, but that’s a minor detail). And despite the Eurocentric construction, nearly a third of the A300 was made of American components.

But it didn’t work.

For one, Airbus had run into the same problem as Lockheed – names like Dassault and CASA had clout, to be sure, but this new “Airbus” was nothing more than a government experiment with no track record. None of its founding companies had built a project of this scale, and there were doubts that such a company would survive, say, one of their member countries deciding to pack up and leave. Air France had bought a few examples, sure, but this was a project sponsored by the French government. Of course they would blindly buy their own work, said the Americans without a hint of irony. The Americans remained thoroughly unimpressed with the A300, with the VP of Boeing deriding the effort:

A typical government airplane. They’ll build a dozen or so and then go out of business.”
-Jim Austin, Boeing Vice President on the Airbus A300

And by 1977, it seemed that Mr. Austin was right.

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Airbus A300 serial one - a demonstrator aircraft T/N F-OCAZ
 
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DRGN Juno

AAAAAAAAAAAAAA -Sukhoi, 2020
Despite an unprecedented American tour to demonstrate the capabilities of the aircraft, no airline executives seemed to be interested, even with all the champagne the cargo hold could carry. Between December of 1975 and May of 1977, Airbus sold exactly zero A300s. Once again, we can thank the 1973 oil crisis, as well as a global recession. Nobody wanted to bite, nor could they if they wanted to. It seemed that the fears the British had in 1969 were coming true, and the employees of each company supplying Airbus clocked in each day with a sword dangling over their heads. At any moment, any of the partner governments would look at the stack of unsold aircraft piling up at the facility in Toulouse and make the call – cease production, the Airbus venture was a failure. Unbeknownst to Airbus, this was considered a shame by one American in particular – Frank Borman, CEO of Eastern Airlines.

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Frank Borman, in his Gemini 7 suit

Now, Mr. Borman (or rather, Col (ret) Borman) is a rather unique character I may explore at some point if I can get more info on him. He was a fighter pilot and test pilot in the USAF, and an accomplished astronaut, having flown on Gemini 7, and around the moon on Apollo 8 before retiring into a relatively quieter civilian life of managing an airline. I wish I had these problems. Anyway, Col Borman had been intrigued by the A300 demonstration when the Champagne train made its stop in Florida. He had been impressed by the A300’s technical prowess and smooth, quiet ride, and what seemed to be outlandish claims of up to 30% greater efficiency. He was hooked, and he wanted to see if they were the real deal. And in May 1977, he got an even sweeter deal than the $1 Corvettes that Astronauts can get.

Seriously, could I maybe just get, like 10% of his problems?

On December 3, 1977, serial number 41 (T/N N201EA) began service with Eastern Airlines. It would be joined by serial numbers 42, 43, and 44, leased for the grand sum of $0 USD. Eastern would be allowed to operate the new A300 for six months, free of charge, like WinRAR but less annoying. If they didn’t like them, they didn’t keep them. Remember, Airbus still hadn’t technically sold any outside of the obligatory consolation sales to Air France and Lufthansa. This was a make or break six months, and the A300 would have to deliver above and beyond.


This time, it was a runaway success.

The advanced A300 wasn’t just reliable, but it was at least 20% more fuel efficient than anything Eastern had in the air, short or long haul. Eastern’s 6-month trial of four planes would grow to a fleet of 23 at a cost of $778M USD (nearly $3.3Bn USD today). Not only was this the boon that Airbus needed, it’s the largest purchase of any foreign aircraft ever by an American entity. Over the course of the airline’s history, they would own 34 altogether. And seeing the success from Eastern, other American carriers began to bite. Pan Am was the next in line, operating 21 examples before their bankruptcy. American Airlines, who had only recently commissioned the DC-10, would go on to own 35. With this sudden explosion in popularity, the A300 could finally clock on the miles, and it would go on to make a name for itself in performance and reliability.

But while Airbus had finally found success, the trijet was still always looming over the A300. Remember, the FAA’s ETOPS rules forbid the A300 from flying directly across the Atlantic, a stronghold that the DC-10 and L-1011 still dominated. The A300 would be relegated to short range continental hops, never really maximizing on its potential. The International Civil Aviation Organization (ICAO) had a less strict 90-minute rule that the A300 could operate under internationally, but American carriers were still limited to 60 minutes.

60_minute_rule.jpg


In 1977, the FAA finally extended the rule to 75 minutes. Not only did this open up a number of Caribbean and Central American routes, but it also allowed the A300 to be the first twin-engined jet to make a transatlantic crossing. The final hurdle had been cleared. And with a recovering economy, Airbus would see their orders come in by the hundreds. Airbus would enjoy an absolutely meteoric rise on the back of the A300, and the plane wouldn’t see a direct competitor until Boeing finally rolled out the 767 in 1982.

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A later A300-300 in action, belonging to Aer Lingus

The A300 story isn’t a story about the airplane as an airplane. It’s the story of the airplane as a symbol of European unity. No other aircraft in history had been so logistically diverse, and the technology-driven pool of engineers it had amassed would see the company grow from a ragtag group of low volume makers into a powerhouse to take on Boeing and McDonnell-Douglas (and outlasting the latter). Airbus didn’t just change aviation, or the airline industry. With the A300, Airbus became a catalyst, helping to shape the European Union as we know it today.

@Tazmo's TL;DR: Friendship is magic.
 
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Breyo

Professional Nibbler
*starts climbing my way up @DRGN Juno's walls of text*
Phew! I should've asked a little birdy for a ride up here!
I'm going to have to let my eyes chip away at this overnight. It seems interesting, as always :D

I also like your occasional movie facts, @TR273! They're pretty neat, too!

Also, holy turds, Juno! I just tried to quote both of your thingies, and it said that it breached the character capacity of 10000 characters! That must have taken a while to type :O
 

DRGN Juno

AAAAAAAAAAAAAA -Sukhoi, 2020
*starts climbing my way up @DRGN Juno's walls of text*
Phew! I should've asked a little birdy for a ride up here!
I'm going to have to let my eyes chip away at this overnight. It seems interesting, as always :D

I also like your occasional movie facts, @TR273! They're pretty neat, too!

Also, holy turds, Juno! I just tried to quote both of your thingies, and it said that it breached the character capacity of 10000 characters! That must have taken a while to type :O

Yeah, I've started breaking these into two part episodes because of the limit. It goes down if you add pictures.
 
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DRGN Juno

AAAAAAAAAAAAAA -Sukhoi, 2020
I’ve already spoken about the Lockheed L-1011 and the Airbus A300, which leaves us exactly one more subject in the trijet war – the Douglas DC-10.

Now on the surface, it seemed that the DC-10 had everything going for it. Compared to its main rival (the L-1011), it was simpler and cheaper, and it came from a storied nameplate. It could do what the L-1011 did, but without the pretentiousness or the logistical issues. It was an airplane built from strong roots. The Douglas Commercial (DC) line had been in production since 1933, and the company had been making jet airliners since 1958.

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The DC-8, direct predecessor to the DC-10

So Douglas knew a thing or two about making planes. And when American Airlines selected the DC-10 over its Lockheed-made rival, it became the premier choice for a medium range widebody. It was simple, it was quiet, and it was comfortable. But soon after it entered service, passengers began avoiding it. Nearly overnight, the DC-10 went from being fashionable to a pariah. Not all was well with Douglas or their newest plane, and it would force the FAA to pull an unprecedented move. While it would ride out the early controversy, Douglas and their jet never fully recovered.

Side note: the company became McDonnell-Douglas in 1967, though I tend to only refer to them as “Douglas” out of simplicity and habit.

So, right to the beginning. Well, of the important parts, anyway. A recap on the start of the trijet wars is available here and above.

When Douglas responded to Frank Kolk’s bid for a new medium duty widebody, Douglas took the simpler approach to design. Much of the technology that went into the DC-10 had been developed nearly a decade earlier in the DC-8. Unlike Lockheed who was learning on the fly, Douglas had the advantage of experience. Only two years after the call went out, American Airlines were satisfied with the direction of development and selected the DC-10 in 1968, ordering 25 aircraft. Thanks to their know-how, Douglas breezed through development, beating the L-1011 to first flight by three months, and beating it again to service by nearly a year.


By all means, Douglas had a recipe for success. And the DC-10 was the better seller. In total, 446 were made. And thanks to their simpler approach, they didn’t need to make 500 to break even like Lockheed did. DC-10s were soon in service all across America and beyond. But less than a year later, the seams would start to break.

On June 12, 1972, American Airlines flight 96 made an emergency landing in Detroit after reporting engine two (tail fin engine) failure and loss of control. The culprit was an aft cargo door that had been improperly secured, blowing open past its safety stops and ripping away from the plane. The floor had collapsed under the sudden pressure differential, severing control lines and causing the engine two throttle to snap shut. With limited control, the plane was landed with no fatalities. But it was just a taste of what was to come.


You see, the cargo door had been designed to open outwards to maximize cargo space, and this was a universal trait on all DC-10s. This actually used to be commonplace, but fell out of favour since inward opening doors didn't risk blowing out under pressurization. When American 96 suffered its blowout, most carriers opted to voluntarily modify their locking mechanisms without the FAA issuing what’s called an airworthiness directive. Think of ADs like recalls – The government, recognizing a problem in conjunction with the manufacturer, forces the manufacturer to repair the fault at reduced or no cost to the customer. This is important – with no AD, the latching mechanism fix wasn’t mandatory.

Three years after launch, a Turkish Airlines DC-10 (T/N TC-JAV) operating as Turkish Airlines flight 981 crashed in the Ermenonville forest shortly after departing Paris. The plane had suffered a near-identical cargo door blowout as American 96. But while the American flight had some of its controls spared when the floor collapsed, this time the pilots weren’t so lucky. The accident claimed 346 fatalities, marking the worst single-aircraft accident until Japan Air 123. This would be the beginning of public scrutiny of the Douglas Aircraft Company, and I wish I could’ve said it ended here.

McDonnell_Douglas_DC-10-10%2C_Turkish_Airlines_AN1815013.jpg

T/N TC-JAV, the accident aircraft involved in Turkish Airlines 981

After the Turkish Airlines disaster, accusations began flying – the DC-10 was a rush job, the FAA was paid off, Douglas knew all along. And the worst part was, that last one was true – it was eventually revealed that Douglas witnessed a cargo door blowout on their own prototype before it even flew, but retained the design. Furthermore, the FAA was prepared to issue an airworthiness directive, but Douglas had squirmed their way out of it, reducing the AD to an optional service bulletin instead saying that it would’ve been “bad publicity.” Understandably, these were not very well received revelations.

The flying public wanted answers and in light of Turkish 981, Congress held a special subcommittee to review the plane’s design. With a redesigned latching mechanism, this time reinforced by an airworthiness directive, no such blowout incident ever occurred again. With the findings finalized by the NTSB and other appropriate agencies, families of flight 981’s passengers began filing lawsuits against Douglas, including the largest civil lawsuit to that date. This was a devastating blow to the DC-10’s image, but the nightmare wasn’t about to stop anytime soon.

On May 25, 1979, T/N N110AA operating as American Airlines flight 191 crashed on takeoff from Chicago after the number one engine broke away from the plane. This time, a DC-10 was responsible for 271 fatalities, plus two on the ground. Part of the findings concluded that outside of the engine loss, the plane’s problems had been exacerbated by a design flaw in the plane’s slat/flap system that caused a complete loss of control. This marked the worst air accident on American soil, and the FAA finally decided they’d had enough.

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Final moments of N110AA
 
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DRGN Juno

AAAAAAAAAAAAAA -Sukhoi, 2020
In an unprecedented move, the FAA revoked the DC-10’s type certificate on June 6, 1979, pending investigation. All American DC-10s were to be grounded immediately, and all international DC-10s were to be denied entry to US airspace. A mass grounding of this type and scale wouldn’t be seen again until the 737 MAX groundings of last year. The only exception was international DC-10s already on American soil, which could be flown back to their home bases with no passengers.

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The Michigan Daily - Archived from the day after the grounding was announced

Suddenly, airlines that had relied on the DC-10 found themselves with a severe gap in capacity. The sudden groundings meant mass strandings, and airlines couldn’t find the capacity to make up for the loss of their aircraft. While passengers and their airlines were left in disarray, the FAA put Douglas, American, and the DC-10 under a microscope. When questioned in Congressional hearings, the FAA admitted that there was a very real possibility that the DC-10 would never fly again.

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Swissair DC-10s sit grounded at Zurich

When the FAA finally reached their verdict placing the majority blame on American Airlines, the DC-10 was quietly placed back into service after a five-week hiatus. But this was no vindication; airlines would stop publicizing the DC-10 in their ads, and the flying public no longer trusted anyone that flew them. Some carriers even began offloading their DC-10s, well before their planned sell or retirement dates. What was once celebrated as the pride of the fleet had become toxic. Simply having a DC-10 was bad for business, and Douglas found their orders dwindling. Finally, Douglas announced in August of 1983 that the DC-10 would cease production, just 13 years after its first flight. Despite poor sales, the L-1011 would outlast it by a year.

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Excerpt from the New York Times - the archive is paywalled, but available here: www.nytimes.com: The Pall Over a Plane:; McDonnell Douglas McDonnell Douglas and the pall Over an Airplane

Within 10 years from its launch in 1971, 949 deaths had occurred in or because of a DC-10, with 9 aircraft destroyed. Another 396 fatalities would occur in the plane's service lifetime, including the crash of United 232 when the tail engine disintegrated, causing a loss of control. The slight majority of these are in one form or another attributable to the plane’s design or mechanical failure. To compare, the A300 suffered only four incidents with two hull losses in its first 10 years with no fatalities. And one of those hull losses was pilot error.

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A table of all DC-10 hull losses in the first 10 years of operation

Side note: I’m excluding hijackings from incident counts.

The investigations that followed Turkish Airlines 981 and American 191 did little to help repair the plane’s image. Both official reports and retrospective analyses had all come back with the same damning accusations:

Despite decisions driven by savings at the expense of safety and faulty design philosophies in the cargo door which actually failed, a more serious problem involving the hydraulic lines in the passenger floor was continually overlooked until the crash. This was due primarily to a policy of using old design strategies which met minimum federal requirements
-Excerpt from An Analysis of McDonnell Douglas’s Ethical Responsibility in the Crash of Turkish Airlines Flight 981 (Johnston, 1979), emphasis mine

Let’s be honest for a second, neither Douglas nor Lockheed could have ever really succeeded in the trijet war. The market for a medium duty trijet hadn’t expanded like either had hoped. And with the introduction of the Airbus A300, airlines were finding fewer reasons to buy either. Douglas would survive longer than Lockheed in the commercial market, but their next effort – a warmed-over DC-10 called the MD-11 – would fail to meet expectations. And in 1997, McDonnell-Douglas was absorbed by Boeing.

I’ve been a bit harsh on the plane in this series, and rightfully so. Douglas was in many ways a negligent company, and the DC-10 was a critically flawed aircraft. But there’s a reason we’re discussing this plane. Because at the end of the day, it was significant. And after all the tragedy, some still depended on them for their dispatch reliability and ease of repair. While it was severely flawed, it was the driver of the commercial air revolution, bringing air travel to the middle class, and one of the first truly affordable airliners.

All three planes we’ve discussed, however flawed, were revolutionaries of their time. And despite the stories, modern air travel wouldn’t be the same without any of the three. Because these planes were more than just moments or accidents. They’re a culmination of stories – machines that brought people closer in every sense.

@Tazmo's TL;DR: Planes built dangerously.
 
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