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Predators and Prey

Ravofox

back to Aussie foxying!
*Best skunk voice* "No pwoblem Simo!"
*Nonchalantly dabs on skunk perfume
and goes the other other way*
2020-Foggy-Mtn-skunk-essence.jpg

(*feels gross visiting a hunting site for that image*)


When I came back to CA from my last trip, someone talked me into taking a hit. It burned my throat I got laid up with strep for 10 days x.x

I know how you feel. I'd like to get a fox whistle to see if I can attract any, but those are generally sold at hunting stores, which I'd certainly feel uncomfortable visiting.

I killed the mood! NOOOOOOOOOOOOOO!!

-Dramatic death scene-

never fear, Ravo is here!!!! *gives you big floofy hug*:D
Psst! I think @Ravofox went that way!
*Points southwards, where there's certainly not a trap waiting* ;)

Yep, definitely no trap @Simo! You can trust us foxes, right?:p

Remember, he may be disguised as a barrel at the moment....
Grr... He's a sneaky critter, isn't he? He must be hiding somewhere!
(See, I told you there was no trap. :p)
Less being sneaky, more that's where he is living at the moment.
:D

*the scent leads to a barrel next to several barrels of gunpowder:p*
 

Skittles

Queen of FaF. Empress of Fløøf.
Yep! I'm writing a novel and it's going surprisingly well! (I really need to do more planning in the middle though :p)
Oooh nice. I have given up on mine.. Lack of motivation and I got to a point where I kept thinking people will think t'is poop constantly.
 

A Minty cheetah

~C H E E~
I just meant because the 3 of us are introverted, so we prefer to not have too much conversation, haha! Still, I appreciate those kind words :D

Also, heyo @Skittles, @A Minty cheetah, and @Tallow_Phoenix! Nice to see you guys again! Keeping sane through all of this viral crap, I hope? XD
Just carrying on with work. Keep the monies rolling in!!!
 

Ravofox

back to Aussie foxying!
Oooh nice. I have given up on mine.. Lack of motivation and I got to a point where I kept thinking people will think t'is poop constantly.

you can always give it a try again one day:)

Just carrying on with work. Keep the monies rolling in!!!

Gotta keep minting the monies!!!:p
*hugs tight and gives minty tulips*
 

Skittles

Queen of FaF. Empress of Fløøf.
you can always give it a try again one day:)



Gotta keep minting the monies!!!:p
*hugs tight and gives minty tulips*
This is true! Maybe I will. I just find it hard to stick to projects. -Peers at unpainted pile of miniatures, abandoned stories and half planned tabletop campaign- Oh gods..
 

Ravofox

back to Aussie foxying!

DRGN Juno

AAAAAAAAAAAAAA -Sukhoi, 2020
You know what? This seems slow enough.

This episode of F A C T S is brought to you by @Ravofox. Use coupon code MISCHIEF to sign up for a three-month subscription to your very own @Ravofox, to help you meet you daily mischief needs.

In the early dawn of 2005, five thousand people gathered in a dark room in Toulouse, France, to watch the show of a lifetime. The guests watched as a choreographed, Cirque-du-Soleil style performance played out before them, telling a wordless tale of unity, cooperation, and ambition. As the show drew to a close, a group of children were brought on stage to pull on a rope, sending the curtains to the ground and revealing the behemoth waiting in the hangar behind it. It was a dramatic reveal, packed with symbology for what was surely going to be the most significant aircraft of the century – the mighty Airbus A380.

0c2e14c0-0001-0005-0000-000000427174_w718_r1.77_fpx47.62_fpy49.82.jpg

The January 18, 2005 unveiling of the A380

January 18 was a jubilant day, and it’s easy to see why everyone was so proud. At 575 seats, it eclipsed the decades-old Boeing 747, long unchallenged as the largest airliner ever built. And with modern underpinnings from the company that gave the world the Concorde, it seemed like the perfect tool to strike at the 747’s thirty-six-year reign as the Queen of the Skies.

But over in Seattle, Boeing was putting the finishing touches on the 747-8, featuring the first (and only) fuselage stretch in the aircraft’s history, as well as a host of updates to the engines and avionics. But it wasn’t Boeing’s main focus – far from it. The new 777-300ER was pushing the type’s sales into the thousands, and the new ultra-advanced 787 Dreamliner was about to hit the market. By the time the 747-8 was certified, they’d estimated that the market wouldn’t even be strong enough to sell 300 examples. And Boeing launched the 747-8 in 2011 fully knowing it would be the last.

So…who exactly did Airbus build the A380 for?

Let’s start with a trip back in time; back to a company that once challenged Boeing on home turf, and back to a decade that gave us Miami Vice, neon, jorts, and carpeted bathrooms. Welcome to part two of Double Decker.

It’s safe to say that the 747 left a rather significant impact on the aviation world. It took the world by storm, and competing manufacturers were scrambling to fill the void between the largest airliner in the world and everything else. We saw the brief rise of the trijet widebody, as Lockheed and McDonnell-Douglas fought for a niche that Airbus promptly took over.

When the dust settled and everyone realized the trijet was a dead end, McDonnell-Douglas wanted to fight back. The problem was, their DC-10 had left them with serious damage to their reputation, and they didn’t have the money to go toe to toe with Boeing. In their final throes, they pushed out the MD-11, itself a warmed-over DC-10 without as many glaring safety issues. But they had a secret plan – push the MD-11, make some money back, and start on a new double decker project called the MD-12 by 1988 that would make the 747 look like child’s play.

McDonnell_Douglas_MD-12-b-700x259.png

Render of the MD-12 study

This didn’t go anywhere.

By the time the proposal was made public in 1991, McDonnell-Douglas was in severe financial trouble. The MD-11 wasn't able to shake the publicity blow of the DC-10, nor was it able to cater to an increasingly economy-minded market. And by the end of the decade, Boeing would absorb the company. But before they went, Douglas made an offer to Airbus Industrie to sell them the plans for the MD-12.

This also didn’t go anywhere. And in 1997, the merger was finalized and Boeing put an end to McDonnell-Douglas’ shenanigans. But the design did leave an impression on the burgeoning European giant. In 1988, Airbus was already looking at a slice of the jumbo pie, watching the 747 from the sidelines. Remember how Airbus started? They’re a company never content to just watch. They wanted what Boeing was having. And like the A300 was to the L-1011 and DC-10, whatever they built would be better in every way. So Airbus sent out a call to its subsidiary companies, tabling the best designs from Aerospatiale, BAE, Deutsch Aerospace, CASA, and…Boeing?

Yes, Boeing was in the mix to help develop a competitor for the 747. Though the way Boeing saw it, the joint effort would simply give the 747 a successor. And Boeing had a concept ready, creatively called the New Large Aircraft. It was, frankly, a double decker like the MD-12 and eventual A380, because designing in a single direction will invariably yield the most efficient design.

Fast forwarding to today, the 747 is expected to end production in 2022 with no direct successor. This isn’t because Boeing didn’t have the know-how or space. Instead, when Boeing polled airlines about the NLA project, they only got interest from a whopping two customers. It seemed like a colossal waste of $15 Bn USD, so Boeing decided to pack it in and focus on the 777. Between all my sources, I can’t exactly say why Airbus decided to continue. Boeing had seen the writing on the wall, and they knew from the beginning whatever variant or successor of the 747 wasn’t what the market wanted. But Airbus would forge ahead on this project alone, forming their Large Aircraft Division in 1996, and launching the A3XX program at the turn of the millennium.

1497229529203.jpg

The A380 assembly in Toulouse, France

By 2002, Airbus had begun manufacturing the nearly 4 million different components that made up the first A380. Buoyed by financial backing from the German, French, and British governments, Airbus proceeded to blow straight through their €9.5M estimate. In fact, if you were to sum up the A380 development experience, “delayed” and “over budget” would be the most accurate descriptors. Not that the 747 was a beacon of fiscal sense, but development seemed to be defined more by what wasn’t happening, which is to say construction and certification.

The final budget would balloon to about €20 Bn, and it would be the subject of some good old-fashioned political controversy. The World Trade Organization went after the European Union on the grounds that it was illegally propping up Airbus with state subsidies. It was a seven-year battle for the WTO, and it was just one of several indicators that Airbus should’ve cut their losses and moved on. Instead, the project would soldier on despite witnessing several financial crashes, including the 1997 Asian financial crisis and the 2008 recession, both diminishing the hopes of finding buyers.

slide_3.jpg

Breakdown of major components and origins

Development wasn’t honestly faring much better. There are countless systems that need to work in tandem for any modern airliner. For example, in order to supply a plane the size of the A380, you need a lot of wiring. Or more specifically, about 530 km. This is enough of a challenge on its own, and it’s even worse when you have multiple competing standards. Despite pulling together for the A300 decades ago, the Germans and the Spanish couldn't effectively communicate because they weren’t even using the same software as the French. It was an organizational effort charitably described as a clusterf*ck. A six month delay in 2005 would become a thirteen month delay. And it would spiral onwards from there.
 
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DRGN Juno

AAAAAAAAAAAAAA -Sukhoi, 2020
Deliveries per year would dwindle, and so would Airbus’ shares. With a growing need for new planes, FedEx and UPS lost patience with Airbus, cancelling their freighter orders and buying up the newly released Boeing 777F in 2006. And they weren’t alone. Launch customer Virgin Atlantic would bail on their option of six, and they’d be joined by Etihad, Air Austral, and even Lufthansa as companies scaled back their orders or cut them entirely. The original A380 freighters would never find a buyer, and most were converted back to passenger liners to fulfill the demand from Emirates.

By the time the first A380 entered service with Singapore Airlines in 2007, Airbus had cut their delivery projection to nearly half of their expected output. And as deliveries slowed, so did orders. By 2009, Airbus only delivered on 23 of their 215 orders, or just over 10%. For comparison, Boeing had fulfilled 31% of their 777 orders by the same milestone., and a whopping 80% of 747 orders were fulfilled by the project’s 3-year mark in 1971. The ramp-up was plagued by delays. Airbus eventually got production of the A380 into a groove by 2010, but it would be a while before the company began making good time on fulfilling orders.

46102044485_87fd71ccd2_b.jpg

F-WWOW, serial number 1

Nevertheless, 2005 saw the first flight of F-WWOW – a stunner for sure, as the first flight-ready A380 lifted off from Toulouse on April 27. Test pilot Jacques Rosay and his crew of 5 would put the aircraft through its paces;

“…We were impressed by the ease of handling of the aircraft which was in line with what we had felt in the simulator. We have no doubt any Airbus pilot would feel immediately at home in the A380; it is a true member of the Airbus aircraft family.”
-Jacques Rosay, Airbus test pilot

Indeed, the new A380 was designed to be as user-friendly as possible. The 747 had a significantly higher eye-to-ground height because the cockpit was raised out of the cargo area, necessitating special training to the point where Boeing used a special rig called “Waddell’s Wagon” (for test pilot Jack Waddell) to get their test pilots used to taxiing with the raised view. The A380 was instead designed with the cockpit on the lower deck, meaning pilots didn’t need much adjustment to get the feel of the plane. It also shared similar electronic architecture. And on the outside, it was designed to have a similar footprint to the 747, meaning airports didn’t have to adapt much to the A380.

50f7fa648528cac640e2aeeb886b6dc3.jpg

Emirates first class aboard the A380

For those that got them, the A380 was worth the wait. It was equal parts luxurious and imposing, and it certainly made a statement the way the 747 did in the early 1970s. And thanks to its modern architecture, it made good on Airbus’ claims of improved efficiency over the 747-400. Most of the A380s that entered service saw the planes tackling the longest routes in the world, including Sydney to Los Angeles, or Singapore to Montreal. And to make the day-long flights bearable, the A380 had plenty of space for previously unseen luxuries. Amenities ranged from business class beds, to entire “apartments,” complete with showers, a lounge, and a bar service.

But passenger popularity alone isn’t enough to make a compelling service case. Just look at the Lockheed L-1011 – it was adored by pilots and passengers alike for its quiet ride and spacious cabin, and yet it was a dismal failure at just 250 units produced. The A380 boasted improved operating costs over the 747-400 with minimal infrastructure adjustment, but that was exactly the problem. Airbus was stuck competing against a design that entered service in 1989, and the 747-400 was being phased out for the 747-8 by the time production of the A380 began.

41561838950_0b5ae454b5_b.jpg

The A380 versus a 777 - the plane that would become the real competition

Some of my sources say (albeit speculatively) that this was an intentional move by Boeing all along; a subtle ploy to goad Airbus into taking on a project they really didn’t need. The A380 could best the 747, sure, but Boeing had moved on, and so did the market. The 747 already had its glory days. And as Airbus dumped time and money into a losing battle, Boeing could push the 777 and 787, both of which were vastly cheaper to operate than the A380. And the thing is, at some level, Airbus knew this too. The A330 was already a popular seller, and the A350 was gunning straight for Boeing’s next generation.

The handful of airlines that owned their A380s also ran into a marketing problem. Because the costs of running an A380 are so immense, airlines were forced to operate the planes on a reduced schedule. If the A380 was flown with the same frequency as any other airliner, it wouldn’t be profitable in the slightest. And remember, these planes needed to be at near capacity to work. And in the 21st century, the demand just wasn’t there for 600 passengers each way, every day. The drop in frequency in turn caused an even further drop in ridership, since most passengers that were flying wanted to be there on time, and were willing to give up a few comforts to have a better schedule.

The biggest blow to the A380 program would come in early 2019. By this point, 234 aircraft were built for fourteen different airlines, including Emirates, who were the largest customer for the type at 115 aircraft delivered. In February of that year, Emirates slashed their upcoming order by 39 aircraft to just 14. By the end of the year, Airbus would have just nine unfulfilled orders. Somewhat ironically fueled by uncertainty over the A380 program, those that still had A380s in their fleet were looking to get rid of the money-sapping giants as the leases began to expire, causing uncertainty over the A380 program. As part of its restructuring following the consecutive losses of MH370 and MH17, Malaysia Airlines put all six of its A380s up for sale in 2016 – and couldn’t sell any of them.

mh-3801.jpg

A Malaysia Airlines A380 that returned to service after failing to sell

Production of the A380 is expected to finish either 2021 or 2022. At 251 units produced, it would beat the Lockheed L-1011's dismal performance by one aircraft. It’s little comfort to Airbus, who needed to sell over 700 units just to break even. And even in the sunset days of the 747, the original jumbo jet still outnumbers active A380s 2:1. And because demand remains low, the discussion on what to do with the fifteen-year-old lease returns is equally split between re-leasing them to anyone who wants an A380 at a steep discount, or breaking them down for parts. The latter option’s already happened for former Singapore Airlines jet 9V-SKA – the first ever A380 to be delivered – which was scrapped in December of 2019 after failing to find a buyer. 9V-SKB is close behind, stored in 2018 and all but doomed to the same fate.

a380-msn-003-dismantled-1-lr.jpg

The fate of the first A380 in service - 9V-SKA was broken up in 2019 after failing to find a buyer, with 9V-SKB to follow

It’s not an unusual step when you consider that the international average age of airliners is only 10.3 years old. What is unusual is that there wasn't (and still isn’t) any interest in converting it into an A380 freighter. The typical life cycle of most airliners in North America is roughly ten years in passenger service, followed by a freighter conversion. And you’d think the immense capacity of the A380 would be a popular conversion. But even secondhand, the A380 still proved to be far too expensive. And Airbus never had the chance to put the A380F into service, nor did they have the interest needed to produce any improved variants to follow the original A380-800, like the A380neo or the A380plus.

The A380 is in many ways representative of both the best and worst of Airbus Industrie. On one hand, it showed the world that Airbus wasn’t just a clinical by-the-book government corporation, and that the company was just as capable of thinking outside the box as any other. But at the same time, it demonstrated the short-sightedness of the company. Perhaps blinded by national pride, hubris, or the simple desire to one-up Boeing, it wound up becoming the greatest aviation failure of the 21st century. Airbus maintains that the A380 was “almost certainly introduced ten years too early,” even though they were battling against the last vestige of the 1970s. Nobody really needed a supermassive airliner ever since the 1973 oil crisis, and Airbus ought to have known that. It’s a classic case of winning the battle to lose the war, and what ultimately happens when you get stuck in the past.

1200px-Lufthansa_Airbus_A380_and_Boeing_747_16431502906-1200x674.jpg
 
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Ravofox

back to Aussie foxying!
You know what? This seems slow enough.

This episode of F A C T S is brought to you by @Ravofox. Use coupon code MISCHIEF to sign up for a three-month subscription to your very own @Ravofox, to help you meet you daily mischief needs.

In the early dawn of 2005, five thousand people gathered in a dark room in Toulouse, France, to watch the show of a lifetime. The guests watched as a choreographed, Cirque-du-Soleil style performance played out before them, telling a wordless tale of unity, cooperation, and ambition. As the show drew to a close, a group of children were brought on stage to pull on a rope, sending the curtains to the ground and revealing the behemoth waiting in the hangar behind it. It was a dramatic reveal, packed with symbology for what was surely going to be the most significant aircraft of the century – the mighty Airbus A380.

0c2e14c0-0001-0005-0000-000000427174_w718_r1.77_fpx47.62_fpy49.82.jpg

The January 18, 2005 unveiling of the A380

January 18 was a jubilant day, and it’s easy to see why everyone was so proud. At 575 seats, it eclipsed the decades-old Boeing 747, long unchallenged as the largest airliner ever built. And with modern underpinnings from the company that gave the world the Concorde, it seemed like the perfect tool to strike at the 747’s thirty-six-year reign as the Queen of the Skies.

But over in Seattle, Boeing was putting the finishing touches on the 747-8, featuring the first (and only) fuselage stretch in the aircraft’s history, as well as a host of updates to the engines and avionics. But it wasn’t Boeing’s main focus – far from it. The new 777-300ER was pushing the type’s sales into the thousands, and the new ultra-advanced 787 Dreamliner was about to hit the market. By the time the 747-8 was certified, they’d estimated that the market wouldn’t even be strong enough to sell 300 examples. And Boeing launched the 747-8 in 2011 fully knowing it would be the last.

So…who exactly did Airbus build the A380 for?

Let’s start with a trip back in time; back to a company that once challenged Boeing on home turf, and back to a decade that gave us Miami Vice, neon, jorts, and carpeted bathrooms. Welcome to part two of Double Decker.

It’s safe to say that the 747 left a rather significant impact on the aviation world. It took the world by storm, and competing manufacturers were scrambling to fill the void between the largest airliner in the world and everything else. We saw the brief rise of the trijet widebody, as Lockheed and McDonnell-Douglas fought for a niche that Airbus promptly took over.

When the dust settled and everyone realized the trijet was a dead end, McDonnell-Douglas wanted to fight back. The problem was, their DC-10 had left them with serious damage to their reputation, and they didn’t have the money to go toe to toe with Boeing. In their final throes, they pushed out the MD-11, itself a warmed-over DC-10 without as many glaring safety issues. But they had a secret plan – push the MD-11, make some money back, and start on a new double decker project called the MD-12 by 1988 that would make the 747 look like child’s play.

McDonnell_Douglas_MD-12-b-700x259.png

Render of the MD-12 study

This didn’t go anywhere.

By the time the proposal was made public in 1991, McDonnell-Douglas was in severe financial trouble. The MD-11 was unable to shake the publicity blow of the DC-10, nor was it able to cater to an increasingly economy-minded market. And by the end of the decade, Boeing would absorb the company. But before they went, Douglas made an offer to Airbus Industrie to sell them the plans for the MD-12.

This also didn’t go anywhere. And in 1997, the merger was finalized and Boeing put an end to McDonnell-Douglas’ shenanigans. But the design did leave an impression on the burgeoning European giant. In 1988, Airbus was already looking at a slice of the jumbo pie, watching the 747 from the sidelines. Remember how Airbus started? They’re a company never content to just watch. They wanted what Boeing was having. And like the A300 was to the L-1011 and DC-10, it would be better in every way. So Airbus sent out a call to its subsidiary companies, tabling the best designs from Aerospatiale, BAE, Deutsch Aerospace, CASA, and…Boeing?

Yes, Boeing was in the mix to help develop a competitor for the 747. Though the way Boeing saw it, the joint effort would simply give the 747 a successor. And Boeing had a concept ready, creatively called the New Large Aircraft. It was, frankly, a double decker like the MD-12 and eventual A380, because designing in a single direction will invariably yield the most efficient design.

Fast forwarding to today, the 747 is expected to end production in 2022 with no direct successor. This isn’t because Boeing didn’t have the know-how or space. Instead, when Boeing polled airlines about the NLA project, they only got interest from a whopping two customers. It seemed like a colossal waste of $15 Bn USD, so Boeing decided to pack it in and focus on the 777. Between all my sources, I can’t exactly say why Airbus decided to continue. Boeing had seen the writing on the wall, and they knew from the beginning whatever variant or successor of the 747 wasn’t what the market wanted. But Airbus would forge ahead on this project alone, forming their Large Aircraft Division in 1996, and launching the A3XX program at the turn of the millennium.

1497229529203.jpg

The A380 assembly in Toulouse, France

By 2002, Airbus had begun manufacturing the nearly 4 million different components that made up the first A380. Buoyed by financial backing from the German, French, and British governments, Airbus proceeded to blow straight through their €9.5M estimate. In fact, if you were to sum up the A380 development experience, “delayed” and “over budget” would be the most accurate descriptors. Not that the 747 was a beacon of fiscal sense, but development seemed to be defined more by what wasn’t happening, which is to say construction and certification.

The final budget would balloon to about €20 Bn, and it would be the subject of some good old-fashioned political controversy. The World Trade Organization went after the European Union on the grounds that it was illegally propping up Airbus with state subsidies. It was a seven-year battle for the WTO, and it was just one of several indicators that Airbus should’ve cut their losses and moved on. Instead, the project would soldier on despite witnessing several financial crashes, including the 1997 Asian financial crisis and the 2008 recession, both diminishing the hopes of finding buyers.

slide_3.jpg

Breakdown of major components and origins

Development wasn’t honestly faring much better. There are countless systems that need to work in tandem for any modern airliner. For example, in order to supply a plane the size of the A380, you need a lot of wiring. Or more specifically, about 530 km. This is enough of a challenge on its own, and it’s even worse when you have multiple competing standards. Despite pulling together for the A300 decades ago, the Germans and the Spanish couldn't effectively communicate because they weren’t even using the same software as the French. It was an organizational effort charitably described as a clusterf*ck. A six month delay in 2005 would become a thirteen month delay. And it would spiral onwards from there.


*wipes a tear*
Beautiful man, just beautiful! Thank you, so, so much:):):):)
Very, very interesting to see how the project came about and how it eventually went unstuck.
The part about the scrapping really tugged on my heart strings, it's sad to see that happen so soon although it was economically necessary.

I still love to watch the ones I see here and there in the sky, mostly Qantas and Emerites.
Perhaps it was just too spectacular for this world. When it no longer graces the skies, may it continue to service the passengers of Heavan with its buddies the 747 and Concord.

images
 

DRGN Juno

AAAAAAAAAAAAAA -Sukhoi, 2020
The part about the scrapping really tugged on my heart strings, it's sad to see that happen so soon although it was economically necessary.

I still love to watch the ones I see here and there in the sky, mostly Qantas and Emerites.
Perhaps it was just too spectacular for this world. When it no longer graces the skies, may it continue to service the passengers of Heavan with its buddies the 747 and Concord.

images

It's incredibly uncommon for an airliner to be scrapped within 15 years. The only one I found while perusing for research that wasn't scrapped because of an accident was one of the 787 flying prototypes.

K8-8v5U6tX00qYVsVWI2bfwieDKa8qurIvWxkDZi54g.jpg


This was N787FT. Number five off the line with only 1,600 hours. Apparently scrapped due to an early design flaw that was too difficult to fix.

E: I completely forgot, but the first A300 was also scrapped within two years for being a pre-production model. Segments of it exist in a museum in Munich.

14699504934_306b8e457a_b.jpg


Very neat facts, @DRGN Juno! It's nifty to learn about stuff that's kinda recent!
*wipes a tear*
Beautiful man, just beautiful! Thank you, so, so much:):):):)

<3
 
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